RESOURCES:
Articles
Fundamentals
of Option Pricing
By Joshua Kunken
When
one begins to consider an option, it is very important
to figure out how the premium is calculated. Option
premiums depend on a variety of factors including
the time left to expiry as well as the price of
the underlying security. There are two parts to
an option premium: intrinsic value and time value.
Consequently, several different factors have an
influence on intrinsic and time value.
Intrinsic
Value
Intrinsic
value is the difference between the market price
of the
underlying shares at any given moment in time and
the
exercise price of the option. The following are
a couple of
examples for call and put options.
Call
Options
For
example, say MicroCeuticals (MC) April $25.00 call
options
are trading at a premium of $6.00 and MC shares
are trading
at $30.00 per share, the option has $5.00 intrinsic
value.
The latter is true because the option taker has
the right
to purchase the shares for $25.00, which is $5.00
lower
than the market price. Such options, which have
intrinsic
value, are said to be 'in-the-money'. In this example,
the remaining $1.00 of the premium is time value
($6.00 - $5.00).
If
the shares of MC were trading at $23.00, intrinsic
value
would effectively be zero because the $25.00 call
option contract
would only enable the taker to purchase the shares
for $25.00
per share, which is $2.00 higher than the market
price. When
the share price is less than the exercise price
of the call option,
the option is considered to be 'out-of-the-money'.
It
is important to remember that call options convey
to the
taker the right, but NOT the obligation to purchase
the underlying shares.
If the share price is below the exercise price,
then it is probably better to
purchase the shares on the share market and let
the options lapse.
Put
Options
Put
options work in the opposite way to calls. If the
exercise price
is greater than the market price of the share, then
the put option is
in-the-money and possesses intrinsic value. Exercising
the in-the-money
put option allows the taker to sell the shares for
a higher price than the
current market price.
For
example, an MC April $40.00 put option allows the
holder to sell MC
shares for $40.00 when the current market price
for MC is $35.00. This
option has a premium of $5.50, which consists of
$5.00 of intrinsic value
and 50 cents time value. A put option is out-of-the-money
when the
share price is above the exercise price, since a
taker will not exercise
the put to sell the shares below the current share
price.
As
you may recall, put options convey the right, but
not the obligation
to sell the underlying shares. If the share price
is above the exercise price
then it is probably better to sell the shares on
the share market and let
the option lapse.
It
should be noted that when the share price equals
the market price,
the call and put options are said to be 'at-the-money'.
Time
Value
Time
value represents the amount that you are prepared
to pay
for the possibility that the market might move in
your favor
throughout the life of the option. It represents
and extra payment
to the writer of the option to offset the risk that
the underlying
share will move, and result in a loss to the writer.
Time value will
vary with in-the-money, at-the-money, and out-of-the-money
options
and is greatest for at-the-money options. As the
time of expiry draws
near and the opportunities for the option to become
profitable decline,
the time value decreases. This dilution of option
value is termed
time decay. Time value does not decay at a constant
rate,
but becomes more rapid, possibly even exponential,
as one
gets closer to expiry.
Time
value is influenced by the following factors, among
others:
time to expiry, interest rates, market volatility
(which you can quantify
using Bollinger Bands), dividend payments, and market
expectations.
The
time value of an option is greater the longer the
time to expiry.
The premium will be higher under conditions of high
market volatility.
Again, Bollinger Bands are a great way to measure
market volatility.
This is a consequence of the wider range over which
the stock or commodity
can potentially move. As interest rates increase,
call option premiums will be driven up,
while put option premiums will be pushed down. Supply
and demand will determine the
market value of all options. During times of strong
demand, premiums will undoubtedly
be higher.
Hopefully
this article will provide investors and traders
considering purchasing
or selling options with more information. Although
technical analysis is
useful in attempting to predict market movement,
fundamental analysis of
options via the use of the factors described above
may provide many traders
with benefits as well.
Joshua
M. Kunken is Chief Currency Analyst for ForeignMarketWatch.com.
His articles have also been featured at ForexTrack.
Article
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